Wednesday - September 23, 2026

Episode 1419: Wednesday - September 23, 2026

Markets Drop as Yields Surge; Lessons from Dot-Com Valuations for Today’s AI Boom

Show notes

Brian Szytel reports a broad market decline driven by a bond selloff, with yields rising across the curve in a bearish flattener; the 10-year finished near 5.11%, while the 2s/10s spread remained about 21 bps. He attributes the rate move to stronger flash PMI data in services (58.7 vs. 55.7) and manufacturing (57 vs. 53.5), alongside hotter input inflation tied to fuel and transportation. Energy markets showed angst amid Iran-related developments and discussion of a possible U.S. diesel export ban, with WTI up about 2.7% to nearly $93. He then addresses comparisons between the 1990s internet boom and today’s AI boom, arguing that even profitable, durable companies like Cisco and Microsoft suffered massive drawdowns due to valuation, cautioning that today’s highly valued AI names may have too much optimism priced in.

00:00 Market Selloff Recap

00:51 Yield Curve and Recession Talk

02:02 Flash PMI Surprise

03:02 Inflation and Energy Risks

04:09 Dotcom vs AI Debate

05:49 Valuation Lessons Cisco

06:16 AI IPO Pricing Caution

07:16 Closing Thoughts and Thanks

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

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Brian Szytel

Brian Szytel

Brian Szytel is the Co-CIO and Senior Managing Director of The Bahnsen Group.

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