Dividend Cafe: Rotation Day, Oil Drops, and AI vs. the Late ’90s—Why Dividend Growth Still Matters
In this Dividend Cafe market update, Brian Szytel reviews a rotation day where the Dow rose 182 points while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were flat, with the 10-year yield around 4.48% and Brent crude down nearly 5%, easing inflation and rate expectations amid ongoing US-Iran deal speculation. With little new economic data ahead of a heavier slate tomorrow (including PCE), he compares today’s AI-driven enthusiasm to the late 1990s internet boom, noting similar multiple expansion themes and index concentration, but also differences in valuations and how closely recent market returns have tracked earnings growth after the 2022 selloff. He urges vigilance as the bull market matures and argues dividend growers have historically outperformed on a risk-adjusted basis, supporting a “both/and” portfolio that combines dividend growth with reasonable AI exposure.
00:00 Welcome
00:21 Market Snapshot Today
00:55 Quiet Economic Calendar
01:11 Late 90s vs Today
01:59 Valuations and Returns
03:09 Cycle Risks and Vigilance
03:51 WSJ Question on Dividends
04:20 Why Dividend Growers Win
05:39 Both And Portfolio
06:28 Conclusion
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com
Brian Szytel is the Co-CIO and Senior Managing Director of The Bahnsen Group.
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