Thursday - June 25, 2026

Episode 1356: Thursday - June 25, 2026

Mixed Markets, Strong Economic Data, and the Power of Dividend Growth

Show notes

Brian Szytel hosts Dividend Cafe on Thursday, June 25, describing a mixed but slightly positive market with a growth-to-value rotation as equal-weighted indexes outpaced cap-weighted, rates dipped, and oil rose slightly while Brent returned near pre US-Iran levels; despite one major AI semiconductor earnings beat lifting parts of the space, much of tech was down. He reviews heavy economic releases: May PCE inflation met expectations (0.4% headline, 0.3% core; core PCE 3.4% YoY), Q1 GDP was revised up to 2.1%, jobless claims beat expectations, durable goods fell as expected, and personal income and consumer spending exceeded forecasts, with five of six items better than expected. He highlights dividend growth using a 2000 S&P 500 example where a 1.2% yield grew to about 5.5% cash-on-cash over 26 years, and discusses private credit redemption gates, diversification, and software-sector stress as a key risk versus a systemic collapse.

00:00 Market Snapshot

01:03 Economic Data Rundown

02:36 Value Rotation Drivers

02:45 Dividend Growth Power

04:36 Ask TPG Private Credit

05:11 Run on Bank Explained

06:49 Wrap Up and Weekend

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

Hosts

Brian Szytel

Brian Szytel

Brian Szytel is the Co-CIO and Senior Managing Director of The Bahnsen Group.

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