Disney–Fox Deal: What Murdoch Kept, What Disney Bought, and the Dividend Growth Lesson
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3QMkXSl
David Bahnsen analyzes Rupert Murdoch’s 2019 sale of major 21st Century Fox entertainment assets to Disney for $71.3B, emphasizing not the politics of the parties but the business logic and investing takeaways. He contrasts Disney’s struggles since the deal with Fox’s stronger stock performance, arguing the outcome reflects capital intensity and duration risk: Disney bought scale and IP to compete in streaming, requiring heavy reinvestment amid intense competition and limited margin of safety, while Murdoch kept Fox’s news and sports assets (Fox News, Fox Business, broadcast and sports rights) as more durable, real-time, less disrupted businesses with higher margins. Bahnsen connects this to dividend growth investing as a shorter-duration equity profile that “gets paid now,” helping de-risk unknowns versus long-duration, capital-heavy bets like streaming content.
00:00 Welcome and Setup
01:10 Polarization Disclaimers
03:32 The 2019 Fox Disney Deal
05:13 Stock Performance Aftermath
06:48 Disney’s IP Playbook
08:25 Murdoch Keeps News Sports
10:59 Streaming Wars and Capital Risk
12:52 Capital Light Durability Lesson
15:17 Duration Risk and Dividends
18:16 Dividend Growth Takeaways
19:30 Closing Thoughts
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com
David is the Founder, Managing Partner, and the Chief Investment Officer of The Bahnsen Group.
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