For all those waiting for the data or news indicating some recession shoe to drop we just aren’t seeing it and flows are quietly but steadily moving more toward risk assets with short positions covering
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3DhRwgD
After crickets last night in futures, we opened up nicely on the day right out of the gate and continued to trade higher in both stocks and bonds throughout the entire session closing just off the highs. For all those waiting for the data or news indicating some recession shoe to drop we just aren’t seeing it and flows are quietly but steadily moving more towards risk assets with short positions covering. Its still early innings in earnings season with only about 9% of companies reporting so far, but with the majority of the largest banks out and beating expectations, a common theme: resiliency in the US consumer offsetting the negative affect of yield curve inversion on net interest margins. Also of note, high yield bond spreads are at the lowest level in over a year at 380 wide, a full 100bps lower than they were at the start of the last recession in comparison.
So there you have it, markets remain resilient, and are now up 27% from the October lows, and we continue to climb this wall of worry in another heavily doubted equity bull market. Check out the podcast video today for more color on my resiliency theme and more.
Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Brian Szytel is the Deputy Managing Partner and Co-CIO of The Bahnsen Group.
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