Episode 1388: Monday - August 10, 2026

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4hmEuE3

David Bahnsen hosts the Monday Dividend Cafe, recapping a quiet market day with the Dow down 60 points, the S&P essentially flat, and the Nasdaq down 32 bps, while noting rapid credit-spread tightening and the 10-year yield closing at 4.7%. Energy led sectors as oil rose over 5%, while REITs lagged; he highlights that most S&P 500 profit-margin expansion is concentrated in large tech rather than the broader index. PitchBook data show 33,600 unsold private-equity-owned companies globally, up year-to-date. On policy, the Senate recessed after voting to fund the government through mid-December, with no movement on a GOP budget blueprint or the CLARITY crypto bill. The key development was Friday’s jobs report: 23,000 jobs lost, large downward revisions, and a lower unemployment rate driven by labor-force exits, reducing September hike odds to 50/50. Redfin data show widespread below-ask home sales, especially in Florida and Texas, and he addresses a listener question about faith references in his Friday piece.

00:00 Welcome and Agenda

00:24 Market Wrap and Rates

00:57 Credit Spreads and Risk

02:18 Sector Moves and Breadth

02:57 Margins and AI Divide

04:12 Private Equity Backlog

05:17 Friday Episode Plug

06:02 Middle East and Oil

06:28 Washington Policy Update

07:21 Jobs Report Shock

07:55 Fed Outlook After Jobs

08:43 Housing Price Softening

10:50 Energy and SPR Levels

11:29 Ask TBG Faith Question

13:49 Closing and Friday Preview Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

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